基于限制性立方样条模型分析绝经时间、绝经年龄与非酒精性脂肪性肝病的关系
DOI: 10.12449/JCH250209
Association of menopausal time and menopausal age with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: An analysis based on a restricted cubic spline model
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摘要:
目的 探讨绝经时间、绝经年龄与非酒精性脂肪性肝病(NAFLD)发病风险的关系,为临床早期防治NAFLD提供依据。 方法 收集2017年1月—2021年12月就诊于河南中医药大学第一附属医院脾胃肝胆病科门诊的373例绝经后女性患者的基本信息、绝经年龄、绝经时间及是否患有NAFLD。计数资料组间比较采用χ2检验;符合正态分布的计量资料两组间比较采用成组t检验,不符合正态分布的计量资料两组间比较采用Wilcoxon秩和检验;采用Logistic回归分析绝经时间、年龄与NAFLD风险的关联强度(OR)及95%CI,采用限制性立方样条法(RCS)分析绝经时间、年龄与NAFLD患病风险的剂量反应关系。 结果 与正常绝经和晚期绝经者相比,早期绝经者的NAFLD患病率、肝脂肪变性和肝纤维化分级程度均较高(P值均<0.05)。调整年龄、初潮年龄等混杂因素后,与绝经时间≤3年相比,绝经时间>3年者NAFLD患病风险为前者的4.80倍(95%CI:1.93~11.95,P=0.001);与正常绝经年龄者相比,早期绝经年龄者和晚期绝经年龄者NAFLD患病风险分别为前者的8.14倍(95%CI:1.77~37.58,P=0.007)和0.09倍(95%CI:0.03~0.32,P<0.001)。绝经时间、绝经年龄与NAFLD患病风险呈现剂量-反应关系,绝经时间与NAFLD患病关联强度呈正相关,而绝经年龄与NAFLD患病关联强度呈负相关。 结论 绝经时间越长、绝经年龄越早者患NAFLD风险越高。 Abstract:Objective To investigate the association of menopausal time and menopausal age with the risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and to provide a basis for the early prevention and treatment of NAFLD in clinical practice. Methods Related data were collected from 373 postmenopausal women who attended the outpatient service of Department of Spleen, Stomach, Liver and Gallbladder Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine, from January 2017 to December 2021, including general information, menopausal age, menopausal time, and presence or absence of NAFLD. The chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data; the independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups, and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups. A Logistic regression analysis was used to calculate the association intensity and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) of menopausal time and menopausal age for the risk of NAFLD, and the restricted cubic spline (RCS) method was used to investigate the dose-response relationship between menopausal time/age and the risk of NAFLD. Results Compared with the women with normal menopause or late menopause, the women with early menopause had a higher prevalence rate of NAFLD and a higher degree of steatosis and fibrosis (all P<0.05). After adjustment for the confounding factors such as age and age of menarche, the risk of NAFLD in women with a menopausal time of >3 years was 4.80 (95%CI: 1.93 — 11.95, P=0.001) times that in women with a menopausal time of ≤3 years, and the risk of NAFLD in women with early or late menopause was 8.14 times (95%CI: 1.77 — 37.58, P=0.007) and 0.09 times (95%CI: 0.03 — 0.32, P<0.001), respectively, that in those with a normal menopausal age. There is a dose-response relationship between menopausal time/age and the risk of NAFLD. Menopausal time is positively correlated with the association intensity of NAFLD, while menopausal age is negatively correlated with the association intensity of NAFLD. Conclusion The longer the menopause time and the earlier the menopause age, the ligher the risk of NAFLD. -
Key words:
- Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease /
- Menopause /
- Restricted Cubic Spline
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表 1 一般资料比较
Table 1. Comparison of general data
项目 NAFLD(n=266) 非NAFLD(n=107) 统计值 P值 年龄(岁) 54.88±7.28 54.72±5.80 t=0.151 0.880 初潮年龄(岁) 13.15±1.24 13.06±0.99 t=0.703 0.483 绝经年龄(岁) 49.50±4.05 51.31±3.85 t=0.839 <0.001 绝经时间(年) 3.00(1.00~9.00) 2.00(1.00~5.00) Z=-3.255 0.001 手术绝经[有/无,例(%)] 45(16.9)/221(83.1) 12(11.2)/95(88.8) χ2=1.917 0.166 BMI(kg/m2) 27.93±2.68 23.76±3.92 t=11.783 <0.001 腰围(cm) 91.82±14.03 79.92±8.95 t=8.129 <0.001 合并症[例(%)] 高血压 30(11.3) 11(10.3) χ2=0.078 0.781 2型糖尿病 23(8.6) 6(5.6) χ2=0.983 0.321 高脂血症 25(9.4) 6(5.6) χ2=1.439 0.230 高尿酸血症 10(3.8) 8(7.5) χ2=2.296 0.130 肥胖 117(44.0) 23(21.5) χ2=16.461 <0.001 焦虑 55(20.7) 14(13.1) χ2=2.918 0.088 围绝经期综合征 70(26.3) 23(21.5) χ2=0.947 0.330 实验室参数 ALT(U/L) 24.60(16.85~38.10) 15.70(11.23~21.68) Z=-6.369 <0.001 AST(U/L) 23.55(19.45~32.90) 18.80(14.70~20.30) Z=-7.748 <0.001 GGT(U/L) 22.40(15.85~31.65) 18.70(15.10~24.68) Z=-2.865 0.004 TG(mmol/L) 1.60±0.84 1.25±0.77 t=3.690 <0.001 TC(mmol/L) 4.94±1.16 4.48±0.95 t=3.636 <0.001 HDL(mmol/L) 1.27±0.27 1.36±0.18 t=-3.173 0.002 LDL(mmol/L) 3.02±1.00 2.43±0.80 t=5.445 <0.001 FFA(mmol/L) 0.58±0.32 0.47±0.28 t=3.069 0.002 UA(μmol/L) 302.78±78.46 283.34±78.89 t=2.160 0.031 FBG(mmol/L) 5.77±1.28 5.73±0.88 t=0.281 0.779 E2(pg/mL) 21.68±7.90 23.25±7.59 t=-1.762 0.079 肝脏评估 CAP(dB/m) 284.74±43.86 263.77±27.92 t=4.585 <0.001 LSM(kPa) 6.35±1.84 5.91±1.63 t=2.180 0.030 FIB-4 1.34(1.02~1.91) 1.11(0.78~1.36) Z=-5.313 <0.001 APRI 0.35(0.26~0.50) 0.22(0.18~0.27) Z=-8.007 <0.001 表 2 不同绝经年龄组NAFLD、肝脂肪变性、肝纤维化分级的百分比比较
Table 2. Comparison of the percentage of NAFLD, steatosis and fibrosis in different menopausal age groups
项目 早期绝经(n=67) 正常绝经(n=253) 晚期绝经(n=53) χ2值 P值 NAFLD[例(%)] 56(83.6) 180(71.1) 30(56.6) 10.539 0.005 非NAFLD[例(%)] 11(16.4) 73(28.9) 23(43.4) 肝脂肪变性分级[例(%)] 4.822 0.028 S0 35(52.2) 142(56.1) 36(67.9) S1 6(9.0) 35(13.8) 6(11.3) S2 2(3.0) 20(7.9) 1(1.9) S3 24(35.9) 56(22.1) 10(18.9) 肝纤维化分级[例(%)] 20.767 0.002 F0~F1 52(77.6) 238(94.1) 48(90.6) F2 7(10.4) 10(4.0) 3(5.7) F3 7(10.4) 3(1.2) 2(3.8) F4 1(1.5) 2(0.8) 0(0.0) 表 3 绝经时间、年龄与NAFLD患病风险的Logistic 回归分析
Table 3. Logistic regression analysis of menopausal time, age and risk of NAFLD
项目 模型1 模型2 模型3 crude OR(95%CI) P值 adjusted OR(95%CI) P值 adjusted OR(95%CI) P值 绝经时间 ≤3年 >3年 1.74(1.10~2.77) 0.018 3.11(1.72~5.62) <0.001 4.80(1.93~11.95) 0.001 绝经年龄 早期 2.07(1.02~4.16) 0.043 8.77(3.18~24.19) <0.001 8.14(1.77~37.58) 0.007 正常 晚期 0.53(0.29~0.97) 0.040 0.30(0.14~0.64) 0.002 0.09(0.03~0.32) <0.001 注:模型1为单因素模型;模型2调整了年龄、初潮年龄、绝经时间或绝经年龄;模型3在模型2的基础上调整了BMI、腰围、是否肥胖、ALT、AST、GGT、TG、TC、HDL、LDL、FFA、UA、E2、CAP、LSM、FIB-4、APRI。
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