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ISSN 1001-5256 (Print)
ISSN 2097-3497 (Online)
CN 22-1108/R
Volume 41 Issue 9
Sep.  2025
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Article Contents

Comparative analysis of the predictive value of fried frailty phenotype, liver fraily index and short physical performance battery in the prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis

DOI: 10.12449/JCH250917
Research funding:

National Natural Science Foundation of China (82270603)

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  • Corresponding author: JIA Jidong, jia_jd@ccmu.edu.cn (ORCID: 0000-0002-4673-8890)
  • Received Date: 2025-03-18
  • Accepted Date: 2025-05-06
  • Published Date: 2025-09-25
  •   Objective  To investigate the value of Fried Frailty Phenotype (FFP), liver frailty index (LFI), and Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) in predicting 2-year all-cause mortality and decompensation events in patients with liver cirrhosis.  Methods  A total of 277 patients with liver cirrhosis who were hospitalized in Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, from December 2020 to December 2021 were enrolled, and FFP, LFI, and SPPB were used to assess the state of frailty. Based on the scores of each tool, these patients were divided into frail and non-frail groups. These three tools were compared in terms of consistency and independent predictive performance. The primary endpoints were 2-year all-cause mortality rate and composite endpoints (death+decompensation events), and the Cox regression analysis, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) index were used to analyze the predictive value of the three tools. Normally distributed continuous data were compared between two groups using the independent samples t-test, while non-normally distributed continuous data were compared using the Mann-Whitney U test. Categorical data were compared between groups using the chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test. The agreement among different frailty tools was evaluated using Cohen’s Kappa statistic. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve was plotted, and a survival analysis was performed using the log-rank test.  Results  The prevalence rate of frailty assessed by FFP, LFI, and SPPB was 37.2%, 22.4%, and 20.2%, respectively, with a moderate consistency between FFP and LFI/SPPB (κ=0.57, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.47 — 0.67; κ=0.51, 95%CI: 0.41 — 0.62) and a relatively high consistency between LFI and SPPB (κ=0.87, 95%CI: 0.80 — 0.94). Compared with the non-frailty group, the frailty group had significantly higher all-cause mortality rate and incidence rate of composite endpoints (P<0.001). After multivariate adjustment, FFP, LFI, and SPPB had a hazard ratio of 2.42(95%CI: 1.51 — 5.11), 2.21(95%CI: 1.11 — 4.42), and 2.21(95%CI: 1.14 — 4.30), respectively, in predicting all-cause mortality, as well as a hazard ratio of 2.51(95%CI: 1.61 — 3.91), 2.40(95%CI: 1.51 — 3.80), and 2.20(95%CI: 1.39 — 3.47), respectively, in predicting composite endpoints. Compared with Child-Pugh score, FFP had a significantly greater area under the ROC curve (AUC) in predicting all-cause mortality (0.79 vs 0.69, P=0.032) and composite endpoints (0.75 vs 0.68, P=0.044). Frailty assessment tools combined with Child-Pugh score significantly improved the performance in predicting all-cause mortality and composite endpoints, with an AUC of 0.81 — 0.82 and 0.77 — 0.78, respectively (P<0.05). NRI and IDI analyses further confirmed the improvement of the combined model in classification (all P<0.001).  Conclusion  FFP, LFI, and SPPB can independently predict adverse outcomes in patients with liver cirrhosis, among which FFP has the best predictive performance, and the combination of frailty assessment tools with Child-Pugh score can significantly enhance the accuracy of prognostic evaluation.

     

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