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阿司匹林对病毒性肝炎患者肝癌发生率影响的Meta分析

朱顺 李志国 李硕 曹旭 李晓斌 李小科 叶永安

引用本文:
Citation:

阿司匹林对病毒性肝炎患者肝癌发生率影响的Meta分析

DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-5256.2021.05.024
基金项目: 

国家科技重大专项“十三五”课题 (2018ZX10725-505-001);

国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目 (81804033);

北京中医药大学科研创新团队项目 (2019-JYB-TD-009)

利益冲突声明:本研究不存在研究者、伦理委员会成员、受试者监护人以及与公开研究成果有关的利益冲突。
作者贡献声明:朱顺、李志国、李晓斌负责设计研究,资料分析,撰写论文;朱顺、李硕、曹旭参与检索文献,数据提取,修改论文;李小科、叶永安负责拟定写作思路,指导撰写文章并最后定稿。
详细信息
    作者简介:

    朱顺(1995—),男,主要从事中医药治疗慢性肝病方面的研究

    通信作者:

    李小科,lixiaoke@vip.163.com

    叶永安,yeyongan@vip.163.com

  • 中图分类号: R512.6; R735.7

Effect of aspirin on the incidence rate of liver cancer in patients with viral hepatitis: A Meta-analysis

  • 摘要:   目的  评价阿司匹林的使用对病毒性肝炎患者肝癌发生率的影响。  方法  检索PubMed、Web of Science、Cochrane Library英文数据库,收集建库至2020年7月15日关于病毒性肝炎患者使用阿司匹林与肝癌发生率的研究。选择风险比(HR)和95%CI作为汇总指标。用RevMan 5.3进行Meta分析、对不能合并的数据采用描述性分析。  结果  共纳入9篇文献,涉及132 066例病毒性肝炎患者。结果表明使用阿司匹林的病毒性肝炎患者肝癌发生率降低31%(HR=0.69,95%CI: 0.65~0.74,P<0.000 01);4项研究报道了消化道出血发生率,表明使用阿司匹林未显著增加病毒性肝炎患者消化道出血风险(P>0.05)。  结论  接受阿司匹林治疗可能有利于降低病毒性肝炎患者肝癌发生率,未显著增加包括肝硬化人群在内的消化道出血风险,对于减少肝癌的发生可能具有积极意义,但该临床现象背后的机制尚不明确,且仍需更多临床观察以验证其安全性和有效性。

     

  • 图  1  文献筛选流程

    图  2  使用阿司匹林与肝癌发生率的Meta分析结果

    表  1  Meta分析纳入文献的基本特征

    纳入研究 地区 研究类型 随访时间 阿司匹林使用定义 随访人数 人群
    Simon等[21](2020) 瑞典 队列研究 中位随访期7.9年 低剂量(75 mg或160 mg),≥90 DDDs 50 275 HBV/HCV
    Liao等[22](2020) 中国台湾 队列研究 最长随访期≥12年 NA 3822 HCV
    Wu等[23](2020) 中国台湾 队列研究 最长随访期≥5年 ≥90 DDDs 9417 HCV
    Lee等[24](2020) 中国台湾 队列研究 最长随访期≥5年 规律用药≥90 d 7434 HCV
    Lee等[25](2019) 中国台湾 队列研究 最长随访期≥5年 规律用药≥90 d 10 615 HBV
    Simon等[26](2019) 瑞典 队列研究 中位随访期8.5年 剂量<162 mg且≥30 DDDs 18 368 HBV/HCV
    Du等[27](2019) 中国 队列研究 中位随访期4.5年 术后7 d内开始服用,剂量为100 mg/d且持续≥1年 264 HBV/HCV
    Hwang等[28](2018) 韩国 队列研究 中位随访期4年 ≥30 DDDs 31 528 病毒性肝炎
    Lee等[29](2017) 韩国 队列研究 中位随访期38.5个月 100 mg/d,使用时间≥6个月 343 HBV
    纳入研究 是否包含肝硬化人群 是否抗病毒治疗 匹配或调整变量 报告结局 NOS评分
    Simon等[21](2020) 是。对照组14.2%,阿司匹林组13.6% 是。对照组31.7%,阿司匹林组29.2% 倾向性评分;2~8 ①② 9
    Liao等[22](2020) 是。NA 倾向性评分;1、2、5~7 9
    Wu等[23](2020) 是。NA 是。对照组5.4%,阿司匹林组5.5% 倾向性评分;1、2、4~8 NA
    Lee等[24](2020) 是。对照组15.1%,阿司匹林组16.0% 是。对照组4.7%,阿司匹林组5.4% 倾向性评分;1、2、4~8 ①② 9
    Lee等[25](2019) 是。对照组17.1%,阿司匹林组17.1% 是。对照组15.8%,阿司匹林组15.8% 倾向性评分;1~3、5~8 ①② 9
    Simon等[26](2019) NA NA 倾向性评分;NA NA
    Du等[27](2019) 是。对照组100%,阿司匹林组100% NA NA 7
    Hwang等[28](2018) NA NA 1、2、7、8 8
    Lee等[29](2017) 是。阿司匹林组12.2% 倾向性评分;1、5、8 ①② 8
    注:调整变量1~8分别为1,年龄;2,性别;3,抗HBV治疗;4,抗HCV治疗;5,肝硬化;6,其他药物(如二甲双胍、他汀类等具有潜在化学预防肝癌药物);7,合并症;8,其他。报告结局包括①肝癌发生率;②消化道出血发生率。DDDs,限定日剂量。NA, 未提及。
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  亚组分析

    亚组 研究数目 HR(95%CI) P I2值(%) P
    地域
      东方[22-25, 27-29] 7 0.67(0.58~0.78) <0.000 1 50 0.04
      西方[21, 26] 2 0.68(0.62~0.74) <0.000 1 0 0.63
    肝炎类型
      HBV[25, 29] 2 0.49(0.19~1.27) 0.14 70 0.07
      HCV[22-24] 3 0.72(0.59~0.87) <0.000 1 60 0.08
      混合病例[21, 26-28] 4 0.67(0.62~0.73) <0.000 1 20 0.28
    人群
      抗病毒治疗[23-25] 3 0.68(0.42~1.09) 0.11 46 0.16
      肝硬化[23-25, 27] 4 0.77(0.58~1.02) 0.07 53 0.09
    匹配或调整变量
      抗病毒治疗[21, 23-25] 4 0.73(0.67~0.78) <0.000 1 0 0.49
      肝硬化[21-25, 29] 6 0.71(0.66~0.76) <0.000 1 46 0.10
    下载: 导出CSV
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